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-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Novel A/H1N1 - WHO 2 Billion Infection Projection  [Edited]
Date: Sat, 09 May 2009 09:23:50 -0700
From: "Stephen M. Apatow" <s.m.apatow@pathobiologics.org>
To: Pascal.Lamy@wto.org, hri@int-bar.org


Dear Colleagues,

We are in the midst of contingency discussions associated with a concurrent International Economic Emergency  and International Public Health Emergency associated with the Novel A/H1N1 (recombinant Avian Influenza A H5N1).

GENEVA (AP) - The World Health Organization said Thursday that up to 2 billion people could be infected by swine flu if the current outbreak turns into a pandemic. The agency said a pandemic typically lasts two years. -- WHO: Up to 2 billion people might get swine flu: Breibart, 7 May 2009.

Definition: pandemic (an epidemic that is geographically widespread; occurring throughout a region or even throughout the world) -- Princeton WordNet.

Surveillance, containment and control are crucial as we watch geographic spread and population impact by (1) human spread via air travel, including human to animal (2) natural ecological factors such as migratory birds, as was noted with West Nile Virus and Avian Influenza A H5N1.  Geographic analysis and emergency measures must be optimized for all global regions, with emphasis on impoverished population bases without an adequate human/veterinary public health infrastructure

Related:

Stephen M. Apatow
Founder, Director of Research & Development
Humanitarian Resource Institute
Humanitarian University Consortium Graduate Studies
Center for Medicine, Veterinary Medicine & Law
Phone: 203-668-0282
Email: s.m.apatow@humanitarian.net
Internet: www.humanitarian.net

Pathobiologics International
Internet: www.pathobiologics.org



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